If i were the so-called President of America i would start a WAR as soon as possible.It helps take the public's minds off the way the country is being lead forward into utter financial destruction.I wish the Republicans would stop saying they are Conservatives. They spend more money than the Democrats and in a lot less time. Make no bets on it simply because, it would be ludicrous to make a bet on people loosing their life.
I really hope, both for your credibility's sake and for the world's safety, that there ends up being no US attack on Iran in the coming weeks - either bc Trump changes his mind on his own (TACO?) or bc Iran gives him what he needs to save face or bc Iran genuinely capitulates on nukes and other issues. BTW, I agree with your analysis/reasoning, esp vis-a-vis how the Venezuelan operation was executed.
However, I also recall one of the factors in the Iraq war launch in the spring of 2003... US and allied forces were arrayed around Iraq by the the late winter and there was a feeling of "If we're gonna attack, we have to do it soon, so that the ground war is done before summer starts, bc at that point, it'll get really hard". So there was some kind of sunk-cost fallacy at play... "If we've come this far, we might as well go all the way, and we gotta do it now bc it's gonna be much harder later" without a clear, realistic destination or end-point articulated. That's what worries me with the current build-up.
Thank you for caring about my credibility! ๐I'm willing to stick my neck out with predictions because I think it's a good way to generate interest in an important topic people might otherwise ignore. That said, good point on the sunk cost situation, also, Trump does crazy shit simply because he gets personally offended and the Iranian leadership is dumb, dismissive and definitely offensive. Publicly, anyway. But they could be sucking up to Trump in private, which is my guess. At any rate, the telegraphing on this one seems way too deliberate to me. Feel free to call me out if/when I turn out to be wrong.
If i were the so-called President of America i would start a WAR as soon as possible.It helps take the public's minds off the way the country is being lead forward into utter financial destruction.I wish the Republicans would stop saying they are Conservatives. They spend more money than the Democrats and in a lot less time. Make no bets on it simply because, it would be ludicrous to make a bet on people loosing their life.
I really hope, both for your credibility's sake and for the world's safety, that there ends up being no US attack on Iran in the coming weeks - either bc Trump changes his mind on his own (TACO?) or bc Iran gives him what he needs to save face or bc Iran genuinely capitulates on nukes and other issues. BTW, I agree with your analysis/reasoning, esp vis-a-vis how the Venezuelan operation was executed.
However, I also recall one of the factors in the Iraq war launch in the spring of 2003... US and allied forces were arrayed around Iraq by the the late winter and there was a feeling of "If we're gonna attack, we have to do it soon, so that the ground war is done before summer starts, bc at that point, it'll get really hard". So there was some kind of sunk-cost fallacy at play... "If we've come this far, we might as well go all the way, and we gotta do it now bc it's gonna be much harder later" without a clear, realistic destination or end-point articulated. That's what worries me with the current build-up.
Thank you for caring about my credibility! ๐I'm willing to stick my neck out with predictions because I think it's a good way to generate interest in an important topic people might otherwise ignore. That said, good point on the sunk cost situation, also, Trump does crazy shit simply because he gets personally offended and the Iranian leadership is dumb, dismissive and definitely offensive. Publicly, anyway. But they could be sucking up to Trump in private, which is my guess. At any rate, the telegraphing on this one seems way too deliberate to me. Feel free to call me out if/when I turn out to be wrong.